Presentation Description: Onsite measurement campaigns are typically shorter than required for an accurate assessment of the long-term period. Historical data remains the most common way to adjust short term measurements and forecast the near-term operational period, but what natural or human-driven effects are missing from this approach and how do they impact the potential future narrative of the wind resource and uncertainty on a regional and site specific level? This presentation will aim to address these questions by evaluating the impact of long term climate variability and climate change on wind resources (e.g., mean wind speeds, seasonal trends, direction distributions, and gusts) at a regional and local level for case studies in North America and internationally. The study incorporates future projections from an ensemble of high-resolution regional climate model projections from NA-CORDEX, focusing on a business as usual greenhouse gas emissions scenario (RCP 8.5). Wood will discuss the range of results and potential future narratives for a project and how results can be considered when planning for the coming decades.
Methodology: The presentation includes an interactive poll to determine if/how climate change is currently considered for WRA.