Sea Level Rise and Storm Variation
Oral
Masaya Toyoda, PhD
student
Gifu University
Present climate and future climate experiments using the HTM and SSM for Typhoon Sanba (2012) were carried out to quantify the future changes. Typhoon intensity was increased in any calculation at the closest approach time. The averaged future changes of typhoon intensity are -5.5hPa in the 2030s, and -10.4hPa in the 2090s. In addition, the season of biggest future change was in September in the 2090s. The future storm surge at Oura is 1.3 times larger than that in present climate. It is concluded the storm surge disasters in Kyushu Island will be severer in the end of 21st century.